← Scry Games PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Scry Games PTM Store Championship
decks
4
(9.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
8-9-1
overall winrate
47.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
53.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1260
· median 1230
· range 1171–1408
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1142
Q3 1341
1668
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.6% | +9.2 |
| Wind Allies | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.0% | +24.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 33.5% | -12.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Water Slimes | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.6% | -24.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
